There are two things to investigate here:Дoes the rate as printed (1.5%) include the guarantees or not? Four: compare that data to the simulations and use that to determine if one seems to match the data best. Three: collect data from CN whales pulling for SSS everything. Two: simulate a large number of pull sessions for each scenario. One: identify the various possible interpretations of miHoYoвЂ™s disclosed gacha mechanics and rates. A soft pity should be pretty quick to detect the right interpretation for the 1.5% drop rate might be more tricky without an unrealistic number of observations. So I decided to go whale watching myself. In fact, someone asked just a couple of days ago if there was a post asking if there was a soft-pity in HI and the general response was a resounding no. Now, I circled back a few days ago and he said it was an open secret now that HI had a soft-pity, but I havenвЂ™t seen any chatter about it in Discord or reddit. In addition, Raz0r pointed in Discord conversations out that he had been looking at the pulls of some CN whales (weвЂ™re talking leviathans here) and noticed a discrepancy: the distribution of S-rank pulls showed a weird but significant bump after 70 pulls or so. Now IвЂ™m not sure when this became common knowledge in CN, but as far as I know the above guide was the first global confirmation of this fact.Д«ut if miHoYo was playing fast and loose with their description of rates on focus pulls, what else were they not telling? In particular, what does the above imply for the printed rate of 1.5% chance to drop an S-rank character in expansion supply? Over time I became convinced that this chance included the guaranteed 10-pull, and that outside of this guarantee you very much did not have a 12.4% chance per pull to get a 4* item. My own pulls, which I had been recording dutifully from the start, were on the very, very low end of the probability bell curve that one would expect from the drop rates as printed, i.e. Just a few months into my HI journey I started to feel something was off with the focused supply rates.

Credit where itвЂ™s due, it all started with Raz0r, whom you may remember from this guide.

Pixy soft discussion v4